Friday, 14 August 2009

21% Swine Deaths were healty

It was the londoners who believe that Swine Flu is milder than normal

The question is whether among the population, there are more than 21%
who are perfectly healthy. If, even a part-time Soldier and Fireman
can be considered as not healthy, the percentage of people who are
really healthy will drop to this figure.

If the population consists of only 21% perfectly healthy people, it
means that Swine Flu has no bias against those who are with underlying
conditions. It will kill healthy people equally likely.

The bias against obese people is already proven to be non-existence,
i..e Swine Flu will kill obese people just as easily as healthy

The only exception is pregnant women where 6% died whereas only 1% of
the population is pregrant.

Doctors must be well trained in statistics or else should just shut
up. It is well known that doctors are not well trained in statistics.
It was admitted by some doctors, including a virologist. Doctors must
always refer to those who have mastery of statistics to make any
comment on statistical data.

Similarly for Journalists. Saying that 10 per month is much less than
30,000 in a year is just blatantly stupid.

Chief medical officer Liam Donaldson has warned about cavalier
attitude to swine flu
Health chief warns over flu deaths of healthy people
Anna Davis, Health Reporter Anna Davis, Health Reporter

Half of all the swine flu deaths in the country have been in London,
new figures show.

Two more Londoners with the virus died in the past week, bringing the
total in the capital to 22. Forty four people with the virus have died
across England, as well as five in Scotland.

The two latest patients to die in the capital were adults with
underlying health conditions. But datum from the Health Protection
Agency shows 21 per cent of all swine flu deaths have been in
otherwise healthy people.

Across the whole country last week eight more people with swine flu
died, including the two in London. Five of those were otherwise
healthy people.

Chief Medical Officer Sir Liam Donaldson said: "We are concerned about
the rise of deaths in healthy people.

"In a minority of people it causes serious illness and death and not
all those people have previous underlying conditions. The message from
the data is we should not make cavalier statements about it being a
mild illness." The Government has revealed plans to vaccinate about 11
million priority patients against swine flu.

The first 300,000 doses of the vaccine are expected to arrive by the
end of this month and the first patients should be vaccinated by
October. By December 54.6million doses are scheduled to arrive. But
Sir Liam warned that Baxters, one of the firms making the vaccine, may
not be able to deliver as much as originally promised.

An estimated 4.7 million people aged between six months and 65 years
with chronic illnesses will be first in line for the vaccine. Second
on the priority list are pregnant women, followed by people who live
with individuals with weak immune systems, and then over-65s with
underlying health conditions.

About two million frontline health and social care workers will also
be vaccinated.

Many people had expected children to be among the first wave of
priority groups. But experts said that while children have been the
worst hit in terms of the number of cases it is mainly those with
underlying health conditions who have developed complications.

The number of people working on the swine flu hotline is being cut
after a fall in the number of people with the virus. Originally
between 1,550 and 1,650 people were answering the phones, but by 23
August the figure will drop to between 200 and 600. There were an
estimated 25,000 new cases of swine flu in England in the past week
compared with 30,000 the previous week.

City law firms plan to jump the queue for swine flu jabs ahead of
priority patients. One private doctor who is offering the jabs said:
"They cannot afford to have a lot of people off sick."

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